As we approach April, my heart can't help but flutter in anticipation of hree shows that will finally start airing after such a long break without any ground breaking shows.

Macross Frontier
The first show is Macross Frontier, a brand new anime series that picks up the on story of Macross. For those of you need a reminder Macross, also called Robotech when it aired in Singapore over 2 decades ago, is the story of the first Human-Zentraedi war that was eventually stopped by the love triangle trio of Rick Hunter, Lisa Hayes and the singing of Lynn Minmei. Macross Frontier carries the story forward several centuries, to an age where the surviving Humans and Zentraedi work together to colonize the galaxy via huge colony ships.

To whet your appetite, here's a promo music video for Macross Frontier:

By the way if you have not heard the rumor, Toby Maguire of Spiderman fame has purchased the rights to create a live action Robotech movie. So who knows? In a few years there might actually be a Hollywood version of Robotech.

House
That's right, one of my current favorite characters on television, Gregory House is back from the Writer's Strike with 6 new episodes starting at the end of April.

I know many people who watch the show has a love-hate relation with Gregory House. For me, I just feel that he is like me in quite a few ways that watching the show, watcing House is almost like watching a filtered mirror of myself. I understand how House thinks, and unlike most people I do not see him as an egotistical, selfish person. Instead behind the facade most people cannot see past, I see a deeply caring, loving soul who has been cut too many times but still continues to care and love.

Battlestar Galactica
The show that I have really truly been aching for is the fourth and final season of Battlestar Galactica. After the long one year haitus, the uncertainty of the Writer's Guild strike, tele-movie Razor that only raised more questions than it answered, it is good to finally have the show back on television.

I once again reiterate my prediction that Ellen Tigh is the final cylon!

I had a dream this morning. I can't remember the details now, but I do remember who I dreamed of. I guess I could call her my childhood love. She was someone I saw on television when I was just a small boy. Somehow, I simply fell in love with the first time I saw those big round eyes of hears. I didn't even know her name, neither could I remember her character's name. All I know is that I have this infatuation over her.

During my days in the Polytechnic, I met a girl who looked remarkably similar to her. It was that infatuation that spurred me to approach this girl, and got to know her if only casually. Her name is Chelsea, at least thats what I think it is. Time has blurred my memory. Anyway, I never saw her again after her graduation. Since them, I have never thought about Laurie nor the young actress again until I had this dream today.

The only clue I have is the show's name, "The Wonder Years". Thanks to the miracle of the today's Internet, I now know she played the character of Gwendolyn Cooper. Her real name, is Danica Mae McKellar, born in January 1975 just a shy three months after my own birthday, and yes she is as lovely as the first time I saw her on television nearly 2 decades ago. She is still an actress today, but unfortunately I have never seen any of them since these shows aren't available in Singapore. However I truly am surprised that she was in one of my favorite shows, The West Wing. How could I have missed that, I have no idea.

What is more surreal for me, is that Miss McKellar has a degree in Mathematics, have published scientific papers as an undergraduate student and recently wrote a book encouraging women to take up Mathematics. Beauty, brains and most of all a Heart. That is the perfect combination and it makes me feel as if I could fall in love with her all over again like I did so many years ago. Alas she is all the way on the other side of the globe and busy with her Hollywood career! Oh well, I guess I just have to look for someone closer to home. :)

Recently I have been doing a lot of thinking about digital information, the music and movie industry and their tussles with digital music/movies and P2P networks.

What I have been trying to think of is a win-win solution for all parties involved. That is, to come up with a digital information distribution business model that enable the music and movie industry to earn a good profit, to ensure producers such as musicians, actors, directors, writers all get a fair share of their cut and of course, that we as consumers still continue to get what we want (high quality music) at what we believe is a fair price. The result, is this series of articles examining what's wrong with the current model and what needs to change to create a robust entertainment market.

Today, we focus specifically on why the Internet marketplace is so different from a normal brick and mortar market place that the entertainment industry is used to.

One Cent Storage, Reproduction and Distribution

As I have mentioned in the first article, the main difference between a typical brick and mortar Economics and Internet Economics is that digital storage, digital reproduction (or copying) and digital distribution are so cheap that its total cost is still less 1 cent per product sold. This is very different from real world storage and distribution where materials, manpower, warehouses, ships, trucks and store space all costs a significant amount money.

In fact when producing a digital product, there are only three substantial financial costs involved:

1. The one time cost of creating the first copy of the digital product.
2. The cost of marketing and advertising.
3. The cost of per-unit-sold royalties, licenses and residuals.
   

The first two costs are largely fixed and from a basic economic perspective, would mainly influence when a product breaks even. The third cost is going to be the bane of companies trying to enter the Internet with digital products as all other per-unit costs such as manufacturing, distribution costs drop to zero, these per-unit royalties to third parties become major factors in the final cost of these digital products. I believe the television and movie industries and to a lesser extent the music industry suffers from cumbersome per-unit costs that prevent them from selling their digital products at low prices.

Unfortunately, this is something the entertainment industry will have to solve through legal re-negotiations. However, once it is done the entertainment industry will be able to leverage the tremendous economies of scale advantages that the Internet brings.

The Long Tail
One of the well documented effects of having near-zero cost storage, reproduction and distribution is popularly called the Long Tail effect. The idea is that an "Internet Store" is able to stock up several orders of magnitude more songs/videos/movies than any brick and mortar stores can ever imagine stocking up. For example, if the operating cost of a HMV superstore allows it to stock 10,000 unique titles, then an Internet Store with the same operating cost can probably stock several million unique titles. The impact of having such a huge stockpile of music and video is that only half their revenue comes from Blockbuster Movies and Billboard Music. From another perspective, they effectively doubled their revenue by selling non-Blockbuster/Billboard products.

If you are really interested in how businesses can leverage the Internet or just how the world works, I seriously recommend reading the book "The Long Tail: Why the Future of Business is Selling Less of More" by Chris Anderson, current Wired magazine's editor-in-chief. The book is written for the layperson and reiterates its main points through different viewpoints that you get a pretty good understanding of why the long tail effect is so critical to Internet businesses.

The entertainment industry in particular, needs to get away from thinking solely about Blockbuster Movies and Billboard Songs and focus on serving up on the Internet everything they have produced in the past century. The entertainment industry should aos start promoting themselves with themes such as "The Place for Music" or "Where Movies Live". The movie industry, for example, can adopt genre specific promos such as Romantic Comedy/Sci-fi Month. In fact, this is exactly what Amazon.com has been doing for the past decade.

Most importantly, the entertainment industry must realize that they have always been a long tailed business. There is still a significant audience who still watch "Gone With The Wind" even though it was produced nearly 70 years ago. Even today, I frequently see posts made by teenagers who have just discovered Star Trek for the first time and are hungry for more. There are many more "long burning" products that continue to sell years and even decades after their initial release. The entertainment industry has largely neglected these "long burn" products over "flash burn" products. For the first time ever, the Internet Store offers an opportunity to stock both types of products without worrying about the cost of retail space.

In the next article, I will cover the entertainment industry's misteps with digital rights management and detail a digital copyright management scheme that both consumers and the industry can accept.

Recently I have been doing a lot of thinking about digital information, the music and movie industry and their tussles with digital music/movies and P2P networks.

What I have been trying to think of is a win-win solution for all parties involved. That is, to come up with a digital information distribution business model that enable the music and movie industry to earn a good profit, to ensure producers such as musicians, actors, directors, writers all get a fair share of their cut and of course, that we as consumers still continue to get what we want (high quality music) at what we believe is a fair price. The result, is this series of articles examining what's wrong with the current model and what needs to change to create a robust entertainment market.

The Entertainment Industry As It Is Today, Is Flawed
I do not need to repeat what just about every blog and news article is saying, that the entertainment industry's current view of their own industry is seriously flawed. For example, the four major music distribution companies, Sony BMG, EMI, Universal and Warner, think they are selling music but actually they are only selling a specific type of music that I call "Billboard Music". Likewise the movie industry is currently mostly only interested in selling "Blockbuster Movies".

The entertainment industry cannot be blamed for selling Billboard Music and Blockbuster Movies because they are only following the brick and mortar Economics: Sell as many of the most popular products. It is a good model that has worked for decades, so why change to something new? One reason is that the assumptions made by Economics about brick and mortar businesses changed when a company moves to the Internet.

This change in Economics is somewhat similar to the situation in the early 1910s when Einstein discovered the Theory of Relativity. Relativity did not prove that Newton's Law of Universal Gravitation is wrong. Newtonian gravity continues to be accurate on Earth even today. In fact, the only difference is that Newton assumed the force of gravity is constant throughout the universe whereas Einstein showed that the force of gravity is different at different locations in the universe. The result is that as long as we stay on Earth, both Newton as well as Einstein's formulas work equally well. When we move into space, Einstein's relativity formulas are much more accurate than Newton's.

The entertainment industry faces the same issue today. The laws of brick and mortar Economics would continue to work so long as the entertainment industry stays in the brick and mortar world. If the entertainment industry decides to move (and has to move) into the much larger universe of cyberspace, then it better be using the laws of Internet Economics and not the laws of brick and mortar Economics.

Like Newton's Laws, the brick and mortar laws of Economics makes the assumption that every resource, every step, every process used to bring a product to market costs money. It takes money to buy raw materials, hire people, store stuff, transport stuff, buy machinery. Yet strangely in the laws of Internet Economics, there are certain resources and certain processes that are so cheap that they are essentially do not even cost a cent per product sold. This might seem like a small difference between brick and mortar Economics and Internet Economics, but as we will see in the next article, the implications are huge.

According to this Channel NewsAsia report, SingTel has "more or less sealed the deal" with Apple to be the sole distributor if the hotly desired phone in Singapore. Given that SingTel has always been the leader in business oriented mobile phones and its leadership position in telecommunications in Singapore, it is not much of a surprise that Apple would choose to tie up with the company.

The report also hints that the rumored September 2008 launch date might also coincide with the launch of a 3G version of the iPhone. It certainly coincide well with many analyst predictions for a mid-2008 3G iPhone debut.

Meanwhile, I noticed today that M1 has started an aggressive new campaign to grab more subscribers before iPhone fever hits our tiny island. I anticipate StarHub to begin their campaign soon.